Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.211544 0.234261 0.257615 0.283366 0.310910 0.339437 0.371163
2024-12-22 0.180694 0.211820 0.245074 0.283071 0.325112 0.370034 0.421491
2024-12-29 0.161947 0.199292 0.240502 0.288984 0.344094 0.404432 0.475125
2025-01-05 0.144161 0.185640 0.232795 0.289751 0.356052 0.430189 0.518731
2025-01-12 0.129183 0.173610 0.225536 0.289772 0.366155 0.453161 0.558812
2025-01-19 0.115699 0.162043 0.217661 0.288025 0.373350 0.472185 0.593995
2025-01-26 0.106365 0.154702 0.214117 0.290794 0.385378 0.496536 0.635280
2025-02-02 0.100407 0.151064 0.214666 0.298186 0.402739 0.527137 0.684074
2025-02-09 0.092273 0.143897 0.210173 0.298781 0.411385 0.547037 0.720010
2025-02-16 0.087530 0.140859 0.210659 0.305423 0.427389 0.575853 0.766849
2025-02-23 0.083359 0.138251 0.211429 0.312220 0.443481 0.604797 0.814011
2025-03-02 0.076233 0.130966 0.205500 0.309861 0.447592 0.618682 0.842577
2025-03-09 0.070810 0.125884 0.202432 0.311297 0.456777 0.639298 0.880142
2025-03-16 0.064940 0.119711 0.197488 0.309899 0.462047 0.654866 0.911431
2025-03-23 0.061811 0.117441 0.197850 0.315603 0.476630 0.682355 0.957913
2025-03-30 0.057387 0.112838 0.194599 0.316087 0.484110 0.700668 0.992828
2025-04-06 0.053155 0.108220 0.191053 0.315926 0.490560 0.717575 1.025983
2025-04-13 0.048798 0.103066 0.186421 0.313968 0.494371 0.730927 1.054555
2025-04-20 0.046016 0.100329 0.185257 0.316857 0.504766 0.752948 1.094450
2025-04-27 0.044627 0.099864 0.187502 0.324684 0.522050 0.784215 1.146611
2025-05-04 0.041656 0.096417 0.184939 0.325300 0.529176 0.801938 1.181141
2025-05-11 0.040315 0.095779 0.186727 0.332348 0.545388 0.831943 1.232014
2025-05-18 0.039086 0.095252 0.188636 0.339562 0.561880 0.862439 1.283751